Over 60 per cent people believe that the 'statement' of Union Minister of State for Home Affairs Ajay Mishra became the reason for the Lakhimpur Kheri incident, according to the ABP-CVOTER-IANS State of States 2021 tracker.
The tracker found that about 60.6 per cent participants think Mishra’s statement is the reason behind the incident. About 39.4 per cent think that the minister’s statement is not the reason behind the incidents.
The survey revealed that about 57.6 per cent people believe that the opposition party is making it a political issue in view of the upcoming assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh despite the agreement between the farmers and the government after the Lakhimpur incident. About 42.4 per cent participants think that the opposition is not politicising the incident.
More than two third participants believe that incidents like Lakhimpur have tarnished the image of Uttar Pradesh.
While 69.6 per cent respondents believe that the image of the Uttar Pradesh government is getting tarnished due to incidents like Lakhimpur 30.4 per cent think the image of Uttar Pradesh government was not tarnished, the survey found.
The survey further revealed that 59.6 per cent respondents feel that the Lakhimpur incident will prove to be harmful for the BJP in the upcoming assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh while 40.4 per cent feels it will have no impact on BJP in the upcoming Uttar Pradesh assembly polls.
“About 63.2 per cent participants think the image of the Uttar Pradesh government has tarnished because of the law and order situation in the state in the past few days. About 36.8 per cent feel that it has no impact on the image of the state government,” the survey reveals.
About 58.5 per cent believe that farmers are right on the issue of their movement and only 41.5 per cent think the government’s stand is right on farmer’s movement
The survey was conducted from October 5 to 8 in all the 403 constituencies of Uttar Pradesh with a sample size of 2,805 participants.
Despite the huge uproar across the country over the October 3 violence in Lakhimpur Kheri that left nine persons dead, the BJP is set to sweep the Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh next year, according to the tracker that was conducted after the Lakhimpur Kheri incident.
The survey findings can work as a boost for the BJP, which is on the backfoot over the matter.
As per the survey, the seat projection for the BJP and its allies is between 241 and 249, while its nearest rival Samajwadi Party and its allies are projected to win 130-138 seats. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is likely to win just 15 to 19 seats, while the Congress and others won’t manage to cross the double-digit mark.
The region-wise breakup gives lead to the opposition parties in Western UP, but the BJP is expected to gain in all the regions of the state.
In the Awadh region, the BJP is likely to get 65 to 69 seats, while the SP will win 19 to 23 seats. In Bundelkhand, the saffron party is likely to get 13 to 17 seats, while the SP’s tally will between 1 and 5 seats.
At the epicenter of the Lakhimpur Kheri incident in Central UP, the BJP may loose some seats but it is still way ahead as compared to its nearest rival. The BJP is projected to win 36 to 40 seats, while the SP will win 18 to 22 seats.
In the Poorvanchal region, the SP is projected to get 28 to 32 seats, while the BJP is likely to win up to 67 seats.
Similarly, in Ruhelkhand, the BJP is projected to get 28 to 32 seats, while the SP will win 22 seats.
The survey was conducted between October 5 and October 8 in all the 403 constituencies of the state with a sample size of 2,805. (IANS)